Australia’s Consumer Price Inflation Held Steady in February

Australia’s customer value inflation remained at a two-year low of 3. 4% in February, contrary to expectations for a slight increase during the month.

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that, at 3. 4%, the monthly CPI indicator (a partial replica of the full quarterly index that includes more important points on services) was unchanged from January and below forecasts of 3. 5%.

A much-watched measure of core inflation, the truncated average, rose 3. 9% year-over-year, up from 3. 8% in January, but a limited core reading (relative to full quarterly CPI), excluding volatile items and holiday travel, slowed. to 3. 9 per cent, from 4. 1 per cent.

Knowledge of inflation will not affect the Reserve Bank’s thinking about interest rate levels.

The ABS said the biggest participants in February’s annual increase were housing (-4. 6%), food and non-alcoholic beverages (-3. 6%), alcohol and tobacco (-6. 1%) and insurance and money (-8. 4%).

“Excluding volatile factors from the monthly CPI indicator, the annual increase through February was 3. 9 per cent, up from 4. 1 per cent in January. Volatile drivers of annual inflation have continued to decelerate over the past 14 months, from a peak of 7. 2 percent in December 2022,” Michelle Marquardt, head of equity statistics at ABS, said on Wednesday.

Housing rose 4. 6% in the 12 months through February, unchanged from January, and within housing, rents rose 7. 6% for the year, up from 7. 4% in January, reflecting a tight rental market and low vacancy rates across the country.

New home costs rose 4. 9% year-over-year as developers passed on increased costs and labor. The annual increase in new home costs has been about 5% over the past six months, the ABS said.

“The rising costs of food and non-alcoholic beverages have slowed this month. The 3. 6 percent cumulative in the 12 months through February is lower than the 4. 4 percent cumulative annual in January.

“This month’s is the weakest annual expansion since January 2022, with costs in peak food categories moderating and, in some cases, such as meats and seafood and fruits and vegetables, falling,” the ABS said.

That, a month before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, turned everything upside down, driving up the value of energy foods (especially grains and dairy) and driving up inflation across the board, which has spread throughout the economy.

Insurance and money were another headache, up 8. 4% in the 12 months through February.

“This is due to the insurance sector, up 16. 5 percent over the past 12 months, with premiums emerging across all types of insurance (motor vehicle, home and household contents) due to the increase in reinsurance costs, natural disasters and claims.

Prices for travel and vacation accommodations fell 1. 3 percent in the 12 months through February, following a 7. 1 percent year-on-year drop through January. This is due to the decline in travel and holiday accommodation in the country, although the ABS said Taylor Swift’s seven concerts in Sydney and Melbourne increase accommodation prices for the two beauties of the month.

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